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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Bubz Alvarez

Houston Christian · Guard · Senior · 6-5 · #12

Transfer from South Dakota State

#1328Overall
+0.10Projected impact
  • #674 guard in the country
  • #752 in the transfer portal
  • #703 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected rotation player (about 16 minutes a game) at Houston Christian: a role like the one he had at South Dakota State (14.9 min).

Projected minutes
16
Spot in the rotation
#7

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at South Dakota State: 21 games, 0 starts, 14.9 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game4.515thMM #699
  • Rebounds per game2.540thMM #452
  • Assists per game1.127thMM #570
  • Steals per game0.738thMM #446
  • Blocks per game0.011thMM #655
  • Turnovers per game0.971stMM #233
  • Field goal %46.2%(36-78)79thMM #157
  • 3-point %20.0%(4-20)4thMM #796
  • Free throw %55.9%(19-34)4thMM #798

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate18.1%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating103.627thMM #562

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating106.171stMM #230

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %51.1%26thMM #587

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %48.7%39thMM #478

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.2840thMM #477

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %38.5%96thMM #45

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate43.6%81stMM #162

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.08942ndMM #412

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Bubz Alvarez

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Jace Posey

    UT Rio Grande Valley · G · Junior

    75%match

    Transfer from TCU

    +0.20 impact · 4.6 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.2 ast

    Compare
  • Josiah Sanders

    Colorado · G · Sophomore

    74%match

    Returning

    +0.24 impact · 4.4 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.7 ast

    Compare
  • Damien King

    Le Moyne · G · Sophomore

    73%match

    Transfer from UT Martin

    +0.14 impact · 4.6 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.2 ast

    Compare
  • Rayvon Griffith

    Cleveland State · G · Senior

    72%match

    Transfer from Kent State

    +0.01 impact · 4 pts · 3 reb · 0.8 ast

    Compare
  • Timoty van der Knaap

    Bradley · G · Junior

    70%match

    Returning

    +0.11 impact · 6.5 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.4 ast

    Compare
  • Josiah Moore

    Tulane · G · Junior

    70%match

    Returning

    -0.01 impact · 3.7 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.9 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).