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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Jace Posey

UT Rio Grande Valley · Guard · Junior · 6-6 · #23

Transfer from TCU

#1019Overall
+0.21Projected impact
  • #510 guard in the country
  • #592 in the transfer portal
  • #465 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 16 minutes a game) at UT Rio Grande Valley, as a secondary scorer: a role like the one he had at TCU (11.3 min).

Projected minutes
16
Spot in the rotation
#1

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at TCU: 27 games, 0 starts, 11.3 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game4.616thMM #688
  • Rebounds per game2.334thMM #506
  • Assists per game0.21stMM #832
  • Steals per game0.411thMM #704
  • Blocks per game0.138thMM #372
  • Turnovers per game0.687thMM #93
  • Field goal %45.0%(45-100)72ndMM #227
  • 3-point %15.4%(2-13)2ndMM #825
  • Free throw %68.1%(32-47)21stMM #630

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate22.3%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating103.025thMM #585

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating106.271stMM #234

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %51.4%28thMM #569

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %46.0%22ndMM #625

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover0.351stMM #838

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %41.3%98thMM #27

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate47.0%86thMM #128

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.07833rdMM #497

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Jace Posey

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Tyrell Ward

    VCU · G · Senior

    79%match

    Returning

    +0.17 impact · 5.7 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.5 ast

    Compare
  • Bubz Alvarez

    Houston Christian · G · Senior

    75%match

    Transfer from South Dakota State

    +0.09 impact · 4.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.1 ast

    Compare
  • Timoty van der Knaap

    Bradley · G · Junior

    71%match

    Returning

    +0.11 impact · 6.5 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.4 ast

    Compare
  • Tyran Mason

    East Tennessee State · G · Junior

    71%match

    Transfer from UT Arlington

    +0.09 impact · 6.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.6 ast

    Compare
  • Devon Malcolm

    UC Riverside · G · Senior

    71%match

    Transfer from California Baptist

    +0.22 impact · 5.7 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.5 ast

    Compare
  • Khalil Badru

    Vermont · G · Junior

    68%match

    Transfer from Iona

    -0.09 impact · 3.6 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.2 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).