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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Chase Dawson

Morehead State · Guard · Junior · 6-0 · #10

Returning

#2762Overall
-0.20Projected impact
  • #1502 guard in the country
  • #1937 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 24 minutes a game) at Morehead State. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
24
Spot in the rotation
#1

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Morehead State: 33 games, 25 starts, 25.8 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game8.345thMM #404
  • Rebounds per game1.48thMM #758
  • Assists per game2.876thMM #161
  • Steals per game0.738thMM #446
  • Blocks per game0.011thMM #655
  • Turnovers per game1.346thMM #453
  • Field goal %40.8%(91-223)42ndMM #458
  • 3-point %32.9%(28-85)44thMM #439
  • Free throw %79.7%(63-79)64thMM #264

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate18.0%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating112.558thMM #289

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating116.114thMM #716

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %53.0%38thMM #474

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %47.1%28thMM #573

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover2.1484thMM #101

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %11.1%10thMM #762

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate35.4%64thMM #295

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.07531stMM #517

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Chase Dawson

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Connor Amundsen

    Pacific · G · Junior

    77%match

    Transfer from Dartmouth

    +0.04 impact · 9.5 pts · 2 reb · 3.6 ast

    Compare
  • Lance Stone

    Detroit Mercy · G · Sophomore

    72%match

    Returning

    -0.27 impact · 6.8 pts · 1.2 reb · 2 ast

    Compare
  • David Castillo

    Santa Clara · G · Junior

    71%match

    Transfer from Kansas State

    -0.20 impact · 10.3 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.8 ast

    Compare
  • Lilian Marville

    George Mason · G · Sophomore

    71%match

    Transfer from UNC Greensboro

    -0.15 impact · 9.5 pts · 2 reb · 2.3 ast

    Compare
  • KiJan Robinson

    Binghamton · G · Senior

    71%match

    Transfer from New Hampshire

    -0.27 impact · 10.7 pts · 1.7 reb · 2.3 ast

    Compare
  • Zaxton King

    Illinois State · G · Junior

    70%match

    Transfer from Missouri State

    -0.12 impact · 7.2 pts · 2 reb · 1.6 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).