TeamsPlayers
Statboy Sports
← Player Rankings
Morehead State logo

College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Vince Dawson III

Morehead State · Guard · Sophomore · 6-6 · #5

Returning

#2816Overall
-0.22Projected impact
  • #1541 guard in the country
  • #1984 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 17 minutes a game) at Morehead State. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
17
Spot in the rotation
#2

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Morehead State: 33 games, 10 starts, 16.3 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game3.68thMM #768
  • Rebounds per game2.231stMM #524
  • Assists per game0.43rdMM #803
  • Steals per game0.35thMM #772
  • Blocks per game0.011thMM #655
  • Turnovers per game0.299thMM #2
  • Field goal %39.6%(42-106)32ndMM #550
  • 3-point %38.0%(30-79)78thMM #162
  • Free throw %75.0%(6-8)43rdMM #430

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate11.1%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating122.587thMM #86

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating114.819thMM #672

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %54.8%52ndMM #365

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %53.8%75thMM #198

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.7569thMM #220

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %27.8%74thMM #234

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate7.5%1stMM #828

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.07431stMM #522

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Vince Dawson III

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Lou Hutchinson III

    West Georgia · G · Senior

    78%match

    Transfer from Alabama A&M

    -0.23 impact · 4 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.7 ast

    Compare
  • Martins Kilups

    Oral Roberts · G · Sophomore

    76%match

    Returning

    -0.24 impact · 3.7 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.7 ast

    Compare
  • Ned Hull

    Virginia Tech · G · Junior

    76%match

    Transfer from Elon

    -0.22 impact · 4.5 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.9 ast

    Compare
  • Aidan Haskins

    Hampton · G · Sophomore

    75%match

    Returning

    -0.13 impact · 3 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.6 ast

    Compare
  • Carmelo Pacheco

    UCF · G · Senior

    72%match

    Returning

    -0.04 impact · 4.6 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.4 ast

    Compare
  • Caleb Hollenbeck

    Tennessee Tech · G · Senior

    71%match

    Transfer from Marshall

    -0.03 impact · 5.7 pts · 1.6 reb · 1 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).