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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Chris Johnson

Oregon State · Guard · Senior · 6-3 · #22

Transfer from UCF

#710Overall
+0.41Projected impact
  • #354 guard in the country
  • #392 in the transfer portal
  • #254 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected rotation player (about 21 minutes a game) at Oregon State: a bigger role than he had at UCF (15.8 min).

Projected minutes
21
Spot in the rotation
#6

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at UCF: 32 games, 2 starts, 15.8 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game6.230thMM #556
  • Rebounds per game1.48thMM #758
  • Assists per game1.956thMM #314
  • Steals per game0.519thMM #627
  • Blocks per game0.263rdMM #212
  • Turnovers per game0.782ndMM #128
  • Field goal %43.2%(70-162)60thMM #316
  • 3-point %36.5%(31-85)69thMM #227
  • Free throw %70.0%(28-40)26thMM #581

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate19.3%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating119.881stMM #128

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating113.128thMM #591

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %55.4%57thMM #324

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %52.8%69thMM #248

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover2.8696thMM #27

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %15.6%25thMM #648

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate24.7%33rdMM #555

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.11160thMM #262

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Chris Johnson

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • DJ Wagner

    Maryland · G · Senior

    77%match

    Transfer from Arkansas

    +0.76 impact · 7.4 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.4 ast

    Compare
  • Montana Wheeler

    Kansas State · G · Sophomore

    71%match

    Transfer from Bradley

    +0.24 impact · 8.5 pts · 1.1 reb · 2.8 ast

    Compare
  • Gus Etchison

    IU Indianapolis · G · Senior

    70%match

    Transfer from Idaho State

    +0.13 impact · 8.8 pts · 1.4 reb · 2.1 ast

    Compare
  • Jordan Clayton

    Massachusetts · G · Senior

    70%match

    Transfer from Northwestern

    +0.11 impact · 3.9 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.4 ast

    Compare
  • Jake West

    Northwestern · G · Sophomore

    69%match

    Returning

    +0.13 impact · 5.3 pts · 0.8 reb · 2.8 ast

    Compare
  • All Wright

    Loyola Marymount · G · Junior

    69%match

    Transfer from Xavier

    +0.30 impact · 7.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 2 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).