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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Josiah Lake II

Oregon State · Guard · Senior · 6-2 · #2

Returning

#512Overall
+0.59Projected impact
  • #255 guard in the country
  • #151 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 33 minutes a game) at Oregon State. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
33
Spot in the rotation
#1

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Oregon State: 33 games, 33 starts, 34.2 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game13.178thMM #122
  • Rebounds per game4.181stMM #139
  • Assists per game4.293rdMM #40
  • Steals per game1.487thMM #67
  • Blocks per game0.487thMM #67
  • Turnovers per game2.39thMM #766
  • Field goal %46.2%(127-275)79thMM #157
  • 3-point %38.1%(37-97)79thMM #158
  • Free throw %82.4%(140-170)76thMM #171

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate20.5%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating116.973rdMM #176

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating110.147thMM #426

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %61.6%91stMM #69

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %52.9%69thMM #240

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.7971stMM #199

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %8.1%4thMM #807

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate61.8%96thMM #35

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.12469thMM #173

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Josiah Lake II

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Miro Little

    UC Santa Barbara · G · Senior

    82%match

    Returning

    +1.27 impact · 11.9 pts · 5.4 reb · 4.6 ast

    Compare
  • Rowan Brumbaugh

    SMU · G · Senior

    77%match

    Transfer from Tulane

    +0.82 impact · 19.2 pts · 4.9 reb · 3.5 ast

    Compare
  • Jahari Long

    Wichita State · G · Senior

    76%match

    Transfer from George Mason

    +0.73 impact · 12.2 pts · 3.4 reb · 3.9 ast

    Compare
  • Aiden Tobiason

    Syracuse · G · Junior

    75%match

    Transfer from Temple

    +0.61 impact · 15.3 pts · 3.7 reb · 2 ast

    Compare
  • Leroy Blyden Jr.

    Kansas · G · Sophomore

    74%match

    Transfer from Toledo

    +1.10 impact · 16.4 pts · 4 reb · 4.2 ast

    Compare
  • Daniel Freitag

    Oregon State · G · Junior

    74%match

    Transfer from Buffalo

    +1.17 impact · 19.8 pts · 4.3 reb · 3.7 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).