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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

CJ Larry

Northwestern State · Guard · Sophomore · 6-3 · #10

Returning

#3118Overall
-0.40Projected impact
  • #1764 guard in the country
  • #2250 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 14 minutes a game) at Northwestern State. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
15
Spot in the rotation
#5

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Northwestern State: 25 games, 16 starts, 18.2 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game2.62ndMM #821
  • Rebounds per game1.48thMM #758
  • Assists per game1.543rdMM #422
  • Steals per game0.629thMM #532
  • Blocks per game0.138thMM #372
  • Turnovers per game1.441stMM #504
  • Field goal %32.3%(21-65)4thMM #810
  • 3-point %46.7%(7-15)99thMM #11
  • Free throw %53.6%(15-28)4thMM #809

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate13.5%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating73.61stMM #839

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating115.616thMM #700

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %41.4%2ndMM #821

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %37.7%2ndMM #820

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.0624thMM #609

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %13.9%18thMM #695

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate43.1%80thMM #173

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40-0.0441stMM #836

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like CJ Larry

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Aginaldo Neto

    Boise State · G · Sophomore

    73%match

    Returning

    -0.33 impact · 4.3 pts · 1.4 reb · 1.9 ast

    Compare
  • Jordan Muller

    California Baptist · G · Sophomore

    71%match

    Returning

    -0.41 impact · 4.5 pts · 1 reb · 1.8 ast

    Compare
  • A.J. Patterson

    Air Force · G · Junior

    71%match

    Returning

    -0.29 impact · 2.2 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.8 ast

    Compare
  • Kruz McClure

    DePaul · G · Sophomore

    70%match

    Returning

    -0.21 impact · 5 pts · 1.4 reb · 1.5 ast

    Compare
  • Quin Berger

    Miami · G · Senior

    70%match

    Transfer from Bucknell

    -0.34 impact · 3.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.7 ast

    Compare
  • Miles Rose

    UAlbany · G · Junior

    69%match

    Returning

    -0.29 impact · 3.3 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.4 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).