College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason
A.J. Patterson
Air Force · Guard · Junior · 6-3 · #2
Returning
- #1674 guard in the country
- #2142 mid-major player
Projected role · 2026-27
Projected rotation player (about 14 minutes a game) at Air Force. Similar role to last season.
- Projected minutes
- 14
- Spot in the rotation
- #7
From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.
▸What is impact?
Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.
Last season: the basics
2025-26 at Air Force: 29 games, 0 starts, 14.3 minutes a game.
MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).
- Points per game2.21stMM #832
- Rebounds per game1.922ndMM #609
- Assists per game1.853rdMM #342
- Steals per game0.738thMM #446
- Blocks per game0.138thMM #372
- Turnovers per game1.728thMM #621
- Field goal %41.8%(23-55)50thMM #388
- 3-point %14.3%(1-7)2ndMM #827
- Free throw %60.7%(17-28)8thMM #756
Last season: advanced
Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.
MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).
- Usage rate15.4%style
Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor
- Offensive rating73.81stMM #838
Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses
- Defensive rating117.011thMM #741
Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)
- True shooting %47.5%11thMM #730
Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws
- Effective FG %42.7%10thMM #738
Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2
- Assist-to-turnover1.0222ndMM #629
Assists for every turnover
- Offensive rebound %20.0%43rdMM #489
Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor
- Free-throw rate50.9%90thMM #87
Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts
- Win shares per 40-0.0581stMM #840
Wins he created per 40 minutes played
Players like A.J. Patterson
The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.
Returning
-0.31 impact · 2.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.3 ast
CompareTransfer from Eastern Illinois
-0.26 impact · 3.9 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.3 ast
CompareReturning
-0.22 impact · 4.4 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.5 ast
CompareReturning
-0.33 impact · 4.3 pts · 1.4 reb · 1.9 ast
CompareReturning
-0.40 impact · 2.6 pts · 1.4 reb · 1.5 ast
CompareReturning
-0.17 impact · 2.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.9 ast
Compare
Air Force teammates
Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).