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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Connor Turnbull

Utah State · Forward · Senior · 6-11 · #11

Transfer from Evansville

#871Overall
+0.29Projected impact
  • #365 forward in the country
  • #487 in the transfer portal
  • #357 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected rotation player (about 13 minutes a game) at Utah State, as a primary scorer and rim protector: a smaller role than he had at Evansville (20.1 min).

Projected minutes
13
Spot in the rotation
#8

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Evansville: 16 games, 14 starts, 20.1 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 462 mid-major forwardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game11.678thMM #65
  • Rebounds per game6.181stMM #56
  • Assists per game1.161stMM #134
  • Steals per game0.542ndMM #209
  • Blocks per game2.399thMM #5
  • Turnovers per game2.08thMM #429
  • Field goal %47.4%(74-156)41stMM #250
  • 3-point %22.2%(4-18)30thMM #313
  • Free throw %66.7%(34-51)47thMM #223

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I forward who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 462 mid-major forwardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate34.4%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating96.28thMM #411

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating96.895thMM #24

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %52.1%18thMM #352

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %48.7%19thMM #354

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover0.5618thMM #365

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %27.6%27thMM #321

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate32.7%36thMM #280

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.09941stMM #223

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Connor Turnbull

The closest matches among every forward in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Bryson Tiller

    Missouri · F · Sophomore

    79%match

    Transfer from Kansas

    +0.51 impact · 7.9 pts · 6.1 reb · 1 ast

    Compare
  • Kaden Cooper

    East Carolina · F · Senior

    69%match

    Transfer from Louisiana Tech

    +0.48 impact · 9.7 pts · 7.8 reb · 1.1 ast

    Compare
  • Ronnie Harrison

    Washington State · F · Senior

    69%match

    Transfer from East Texas A&M

    +0.09 impact · 14.7 pts · 6.1 reb · 1.8 ast

    Compare
  • Will Heimbrodt

    Seattle U · F · Senior

    69%match

    Returning

    +0.15 impact · 12.3 pts · 5.2 reb · 2.2 ast

    Compare
  • Braden East

    Houston · F · Junior

    68%match

    Transfer from Lamar

    +0.65 impact · 12.8 pts · 9.1 reb · 0.7 ast

    Compare
  • Xander Alarie

    Bradley · F · Sophomore

    68%match

    Transfer from Northeastern

    +0.34 impact · 10.3 pts · 7.4 reb · 1.5 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).