College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason
AJ Bates
Utah State · Guard · Junior · 6-4 · #3
Transfer from Louisiana Tech
- #620 guard in the country
- #695 in the transfer portal
- #616 mid-major player
Projected role · 2026-27
Projected rotation player (about 16 minutes a game) at Utah State, as a secondary scorer and lead playmaker: a smaller role than he had at Louisiana Tech (33.4 min).
- Projected minutes
- 16
- Spot in the rotation
- #6
From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.
▸What is impact?
Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.
Last season: the basics
2025-26 at Louisiana Tech: 34 games, 34 starts, 33.4 minutes a game.
MM # = his rank among the 839 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).
- Points per game12.173rdMM #154
- Rebounds per game2.849thMM #369
- Assists per game5.999thMM #7
- Steals per game1.278thMM #129
- Blocks per game0.138thMM #371
- Turnovers per game2.48thMM #778
- Field goal %37.0%(140-378)16thMM #681
- 3-point %27.7%(36-130)17thMM #668
- Free throw %78.3%(94-120)58thMM #318
Last season: advanced
Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.
MM # = his rank among the 839 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).
- Usage rate23.2%style
Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor
- Offensive rating106.938thMM #448
Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses
- Defensive rating103.583rdMM #122
Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)
- True shooting %47.6%11thMM #725
Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws
- Effective FG %41.8%8thMM #759
Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2
- Assist-to-turnover2.4691stMM #56
Assists for every turnover
- Offensive rebound %19.8%43rdMM #504
Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor
- Free-throw rate31.7%54thMM #389
Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts
- Win shares per 40.12067thMM #194
Wins he created per 40 minutes played
Players like AJ Bates
The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.
Returning
-0.09 impact · 11.1 pts · 3 reb · 3.9 ast
CompareTransfer from Georgetown
+0.40 impact · 13.6 pts · 3 reb · 4.1 ast
CompareTransfer from Fordham
+0.09 impact · 10.7 pts · 3.4 reb · 5.1 ast
CompareReturning
+0.03 impact · 11.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.3 ast
CompareTransfer from Seton Hall
+0.72 impact · 12.7 pts · 3 reb · 4.9 ast
CompareReturning
-0.07 impact · 10.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 4 ast
Compare
Utah State teammates
Mason Falslev#26 · G · Returning- Dallin Hall#160 · G · Transfer from Virginia
- Karson Templin#184 · F · Returning
- Will Hornseth#244 · F · Transfer from Northern Iowa
- Connor Turnbull#871 · F · Transfer from Evansville
- Collin Mulholland#1287 · F · Transfer from Chattanooga
- Solomon Callaghan#1325 · G · Transfer from Wright State
Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).