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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Dylan Ducommun

Buffalo · Guard · Sophomore · 6-4 · #25

Transfer from Northern Illinois

#3170Overall
-0.47Projected impact
  • #1807 guard in the country
  • #1548 in the transfer portal
  • #2290 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected rotation player (about 17 minutes a game) at Buffalo, as a secondary scorer: a smaller role than he had at Northern Illinois (30.6 min).

Projected minutes
17
Spot in the rotation
#6

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Northern Illinois: 26 games, 26 starts, 30.6 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game10.864thMM #227
  • Rebounds per game2.952ndMM #347
  • Assists per game3.485thMM #95
  • Steals per game0.848thMM #371
  • Blocks per game0.263rdMM #212
  • Turnovers per game2.92ndMM #824
  • Field goal %33.1%(95-287)5thMM #796
  • 3-point %28.9%(55-190)22ndMM #626
  • Free throw %70.0%(35-50)26thMM #581

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate24.0%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating90.04thMM #800

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating114.918thMM #678

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %45.3%6thMM #785

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %42.7%10thMM #738

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.1934thMM #530

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %17.3%32ndMM #591

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate17.4%14thMM #713

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.0003rdMM #812

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Dylan Ducommun

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Dwayne Pierce

    Grambling · G · Junior

    80%match

    Transfer from North Carolina A&T

    -0.41 impact · 8.5 pts · 2.3 reb · 2.7 ast

    Compare
  • Omari Witherspoon

    George Washington · G · Sophomore

    78%match

    Transfer from Pittsburgh

    -0.43 impact · 7.5 pts · 3 reb · 2.5 ast

    Compare
  • De'vion Lavergne

    Louisiana · G · Junior

    78%match

    Returning

    -0.37 impact · 9.9 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.8 ast

    Compare
  • Ty Tabales

    Bryant · G · Sophomore

    76%match

    Returning

    -0.47 impact · 9.1 pts · 2.2 reb · 3.5 ast

    Compare
  • Darrel Yepdo

    Vermont · G · Senior

    73%match

    Transfer from UMass Lowell

    -0.36 impact · 10.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 3.2 ast

    Compare
  • Flash Burton

    UMBC · G · Junior

    72%match

    Transfer from Rider

    -0.45 impact · 15.1 pts · 3.2 reb · 2.9 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).