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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Jaylen Smith

Kansas City · Guard · Senior · 5-11 · #4

Transfer from East Tennessee State

#1111Overall
+0.17Projected impact
  • #559 guard in the country
  • #639 in the transfer portal
  • #536 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 29 minutes a game) at Kansas City, as a secondary scorer: a role like the one he had at East Tennessee State (24.8 min).

Projected minutes
29
Spot in the rotation
#1

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at East Tennessee State: 33 games, 3 starts, 24.8 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game9.353rdMM #336
  • Rebounds per game2.643rdMM #428
  • Assists per game2.876thMM #161
  • Steals per game1.383rdMM #92
  • Blocks per game0.263rdMM #212
  • Turnovers per game1.632ndMM #590
  • Field goal %40.3%(106-263)38thMM #489
  • 3-point %35.2%(51-145)59thMM #308
  • Free throw %80.0%(44-55)66thMM #248

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate22.1%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating107.741stMM #432

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating104.480thMM #153

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %53.4%42ndMM #444

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %50.0%49thMM #382

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.7770thMM #208

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %17.6%33rdMM #577

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate20.9%22ndMM #646

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.11764thMM #213

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Jaylen Smith

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Rakim Chaney

    Valparaiso · G · Sophomore

    85%match

    Returning

    +0.18 impact · 10.4 pts · 3.4 reb · 2.8 ast

    Compare
  • Johnny Kinziger

    Illinois State · G · Senior

    78%match

    Returning

    +0.03 impact · 11.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.3 ast

    Compare
  • Fred Payne

    Oregon · G · Senior

    76%match

    Transfer from Boston College

    +0.16 impact · 15.8 pts · 4.2 reb · 2.7 ast

    Compare
  • Christian Williams

    Cal State Fullerton · G · Sophomore

    75%match

    Returning

    +0.17 impact · 9.2 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.2 ast

    Compare
  • Jaden Jackson

    Georgia State · G · Junior

    75%match

    Transfer from South Dakota State

    +0.10 impact · 12.2 pts · 4.2 reb · 2.5 ast

    Compare
  • Jahvin Carter

    Middle Tennessee · G · Junior

    74%match

    Returning

    +0.23 impact · 10.8 pts · 3.2 reb · 3.5 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).