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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Johnny Kinziger

Illinois State · Guard · Senior · 5-11 · #11

Returning

#1547Overall
+0.03Projected impact
  • #776 guard in the country
  • #878 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 29 minutes a game) at Illinois State. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
29
Spot in the rotation
#1

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Illinois State: 36 games, 34 starts, 32.3 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game11.569thMM #188
  • Rebounds per game2.540thMM #452
  • Assists per game3.384thMM #103
  • Steals per game1.278thMM #129
  • Blocks per game0.138thMM #372
  • Turnovers per game2.114thMM #730
  • Field goal %40.0%(144-360)36thMM #507
  • 3-point %32.8%(62-189)43rdMM #445
  • Free throw %77.4%(65-84)54thMM #351

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate21.4%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating104.029thMM #549

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating104.182ndMM #140

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %52.3%33rdMM #518

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %48.6%38thMM #483

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.5558thMM #318

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %13.5%17thMM #700

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate23.3%29thMM #590

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.10050thMM #333

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Johnny Kinziger

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Jaylen Smith

    Kansas City · G · Senior

    78%match

    Transfer from East Tennessee State

    +0.16 impact · 9.3 pts · 2.6 reb · 2.8 ast

    Compare
  • Sami Pissis

    Alabama A&M · G · Senior

    78%match

    Returning

    -0.07 impact · 10.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 4 ast

    Compare
  • Jaden Jackson

    Georgia State · G · Junior

    76%match

    Transfer from South Dakota State

    +0.10 impact · 12.2 pts · 4.2 reb · 2.5 ast

    Compare
  • Caleb Blackwell

    Tarleton State · G · Senior

    75%match

    Transfer from UTEP

    -0.15 impact · 10.6 pts · 2.6 reb · 2.9 ast

    Compare
  • Mike Williams III

    Tulsa · G · Senior

    75%match

    Transfer from Seton Hall

    +0.05 impact · 7 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.5 ast

    Compare
  • AJ Bates

    Utah State · G · Junior

    74%match

    Transfer from Louisiana Tech

    +0.12 impact · 12.1 pts · 2.8 reb · 5.9 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).