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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Joe Sayler

South Dakota State · Guard · Junior · 6-3 · #3

Returning

#1402Overall
+0.07Projected impact
  • #709 guard in the country
  • #762 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 30 minutes a game) at South Dakota State, as a secondary scorer. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
30
Spot in the rotation
#1

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at South Dakota State: 32 games, 32 starts, 32.5 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game14.585thMM #75
  • Rebounds per game3.569thMM #220
  • Assists per game2.469thMM #210
  • Steals per game0.519thMM #627
  • Blocks per game0.138thMM #372
  • Turnovers per game1.824thMM #645
  • Field goal %43.2%(161-373)60thMM #316
  • 3-point %41.2%(68-165)92ndMM #68
  • Free throw %83.0%(73-88)79thMM #147

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate23.0%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating112.458thMM #293

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating111.537thMM #505

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %56.2%63rdMM #281

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %52.3%66thMM #274

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.3646thMM #418

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %8.8%5thMM #799

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate23.6%30thMM #583

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.10454thMM #309

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Joe Sayler

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Carl Parrish

    Presbyterian · G · Senior

    83%match

    Returning

    -0.11 impact · 14.4 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.4 ast

    Compare
  • Rob Lee Jr.

    Western Michigan · G · Senior

    81%match

    Transfer from Lamar

    +0.23 impact · 16 pts · 3.2 reb · 2 ast

    Compare
  • Rodney Brown Jr.

    Seton Hall · G · Senior

    77%match

    Transfer from Loyola Marymount

    +0.02 impact · 14 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.7 ast

    Compare
  • Lance Waddles

    Campbell · G · Senior

    74%match

    Transfer from Omaha

    +0.11 impact · 12.9 pts · 4.8 reb · 2.1 ast

    Compare
  • AJ Dancler

    South Florida · G · Senior

    73%match

    Transfer from Coastal Carolina

    +0.07 impact · 15.7 pts · 5.6 reb · 2 ast

    Compare
  • Ethan Copeland

    Virginia Tech · G · Senior

    73%match

    Transfer from Stetson

    +0.04 impact · 15 pts · 3.7 reb · 2.1 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).