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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Josiah Davis

Cal State Northridge · Guard · Senior · 6-3 · #4

Returning

#634Overall
+0.47Projected impact
  • #312 guard in the country
  • #210 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 32 minutes a game) at Cal State Northridge, as a primary scorer and lead playmaker. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
32
Spot in the rotation
#1

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Cal State Northridge: 34 games, 34 starts, 33.4 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game15.990thMM #41
  • Rebounds per game4.687thMM #88
  • Assists per game7.499thMM #1
  • Steals per game1.171stMM #177
  • Blocks per game0.379thMM #118
  • Turnovers per game4.61stMM #841
  • Field goal %45.9%(195-425)77thMM #176
  • 3-point %16.7%(6-36)2ndMM #820
  • Free throw %70.0%(145-207)26thMM #581

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate26.9%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating101.121stMM #633

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating108.657thMM #354

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %52.4%34thMM #513

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %46.6%25thMM #602

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.6061stMM #292

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %24.7%64thMM #323

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate48.7%88thMM #110

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.08437thMM #456

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Josiah Davis

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Kam Taylor

    Florida State · G · Junior

    78%match

    Transfer from UNC Asheville

    +0.36 impact · 18.9 pts · 5 reb · 3 ast

    Compare
  • Bryce Cofield

    Cal State Bakersfield · G · Sophomore

    74%match

    Transfer from Cal State Fullerton

    +0.23 impact · 10.1 pts · 4.8 reb · 2.4 ast

    Compare
  • Elijah Duval

    UAB · G · Sophomore

    72%match

    Transfer from Southern Utah

    +0.04 impact · 15.3 pts · 4 reb · 3.6 ast

    Compare
  • David Terrell Jr.

    SMU · G · Senior

    72%match

    Transfer from North Texas

    +0.54 impact · 13.5 pts · 3.7 reb · 4.6 ast

    Compare
  • Styles Phipps

    Nevada · G · Junior

    72%match

    Transfer from Pepperdine

    +0.31 impact · 13.4 pts · 5.9 reb · 5.2 ast

    Compare
  • Ty-Laur Johnson

    Tennessee State · G · Senior

    71%match

    Transfer from San Diego

    +0.36 impact · 14.6 pts · 2.7 reb · 4.3 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).