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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Caleb Smith

Cal State Northridge · Guard · Senior · 6-5 · #1

Transfer from Rider

#3078Overall
-0.35Projected impact
  • #1736 guard in the country
  • #1504 in the transfer portal
  • #2219 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 17 minutes a game) at Cal State Northridge: a smaller role than he had at Rider (29.8 min).

Projected minutes
17
Spot in the rotation
#4

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Rider: 29 games, 25 starts, 29.8 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game7.237thMM #470
  • Rebounds per game7.199thMM #5
  • Assists per game1.439thMM #459
  • Steals per game1.171stMM #177
  • Blocks per game0.263rdMM #212
  • Turnovers per game1.159thMM #352
  • Field goal %39.2%(67-171)29thMM #571
  • 3-point %23.1%(6-26)7thMM #766
  • Free throw %66.7%(70-105)18thMM #660

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate14.9%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating104.230thMM #537

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating113.525thMM #617

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %48.3%13thMM #711

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %40.9%6thMM #780

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.2437thMM #505

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %35.9%92ndMM #81

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate61.4%96thMM #36

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.05620thMM #642

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Caleb Smith

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Melvin Bell Jr.

    North Dakota State · G · Sophomore

    72%match

    Transfer from San José State

    -0.38 impact · 8.7 pts · 4.1 reb · 0.5 ast

    Compare
  • Delyle Williams

    Jackson State · G · Senior

    70%match

    Returning

    -0.31 impact · 2.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.3 ast

    Compare
  • Andrew Phillips

    George Washington · G · Senior

    70%match

    Transfer from Lafayette

    -0.24 impact · 13.9 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.3 ast

    Compare
  • Rahmir Moore

    Delaware State · G · Senior

    69%match

    Returning

    -0.34 impact · 6.6 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.1 ast

    Compare
  • Jaylen Fenner

    Louisiana Tech · G · Sophomore

    69%match

    Returning

    -0.14 impact · 5.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 1 ast

    Compare
  • Eze Wali

    West Florida · G · Junior

    68%match

    Transfer from The Citadel

    -0.33 impact · 5.6 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.3 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).