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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Justin Begg

Sam Houston · Guard · Junior · 6-0 · #5

Returning

#2414Overall
-0.14Projected impact
  • #1273 guard in the country
  • #1617 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 17 minutes a game) at Sam Houston, as a secondary scorer. Fewer minutes than last season.

Projected minutes
17
Spot in the rotation
#3

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Sam Houston: 22 games, 22 starts, 26.3 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game9.554thMM #321
  • Rebounds per game2.643rdMM #428
  • Assists per game3.687thMM #81
  • Steals per game0.738thMM #446
  • Blocks per game0.138thMM #372
  • Turnovers per game3.21stMM #834
  • Field goal %39.9%(75-188)34thMM #519
  • 3-point %32.3%(32-99)40thMM #478
  • Free throw %73.7%(28-38)38thMM #487

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate22.5%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating94.88thMM #755

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating107.464thMM #298

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %51.3%28thMM #576

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %48.4%36thMM #498

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.1430thMM #561

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %12.1%13thMM #734

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate20.2%20thMM #662

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.05519thMM #647

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Justin Begg

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Ashton Williamson

    Purdue Fort Wayne · G · Junior

    78%match

    Transfer from Florida International

    -0.21 impact · 7.7 pts · 2.5 reb · 2.5 ast

    Compare
  • Justin Moore

    Hofstra · G · Senior

    77%match

    Transfer from Loyola Chicago

    -0.18 impact · 10.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 3.8 ast

    Compare
  • Jonah Hinton

    Rhode Island · G · Senior

    76%match

    Returning

    -0.19 impact · 12.6 pts · 3 reb · 2.1 ast

    Compare
  • D'Aundre Samuels

    Houston Christian · G · Senior

    75%match

    Returning

    -0.19 impact · 8.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 2 ast

    Compare
  • Darius Livingston

    Robert Morris · G · Sophomore

    74%match

    Returning

    -0.19 impact · 9.6 pts · 2 reb · 3 ast

    Compare
  • Johnny Kinziger

    Illinois State · G · Senior

    73%match

    Returning

    +0.03 impact · 11.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.3 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).