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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Justin Hinds

Air Force · Guard · Sophomore · 6-5 · #15

Returning

#2967Overall
-0.27Projected impact
  • #1653 guard in the country
  • #2121 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected bench piece (about 12 minutes a game) at Air Force. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
12
Spot in the rotation
#9

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Air Force: 29 games, 3 starts, 11.5 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game1.41stMM #838
  • Rebounds per game1.48thMM #758
  • Assists per game0.56thMM #772
  • Steals per game0.35thMM #772
  • Blocks per game0.263rdMM #212
  • Turnovers per game0.782ndMM #128
  • Field goal %25.5%(14-55)1stMM #838
  • 3-point %16.1%(5-31)2ndMM #821
  • Free throw %58.3%(7-12)6thMM #776

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate12.9%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating63.71stMM #840

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating121.03rdMM #815

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %33.2%1stMM #839

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %30.0%1stMM #838

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover0.7910thMM #730

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %16.7%29thMM #608

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate21.8%25thMM #625

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40-0.0841stMM #841

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Justin Hinds

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Isaiah Watts

    UTSA · G · Senior

    81%match

    Transfer from Maryland

    -0.26 impact · 4.3 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.7 ast

    Compare
  • Baasil Saunders

    Coppin State · G · Senior

    81%match

    Returning

    -0.30 impact · 3.2 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.7 ast

    Compare
  • Davis White

    Cal State Fullerton · G · Senior

    78%match

    Returning

    -0.25 impact · 3.2 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.4 ast

    Compare
  • Quin Berger

    Miami · G · Senior

    78%match

    Transfer from Bucknell

    -0.34 impact · 3.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.7 ast

    Compare
  • Sebastian Whitfield

    Princeton · G · Sophomore

    77%match

    Returning

    -0.25 impact · 3.4 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.5 ast

    Compare
  • Caleb Steger

    Texas State · G · Sophomore

    77%match

    Transfer from Boston College

    -0.29 impact · 3.3 pts · 1 reb · 0.2 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).