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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Rob Diaz III

North Dakota State · Guard · Senior · 6-1 · #0

Transfer from Long Beach State

#988Overall
+0.22Projected impact
  • #495 guard in the country
  • #571 in the transfer portal
  • #440 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 18 minutes a game) at North Dakota State: a role like the one he had at Long Beach State (21.9 min).

Projected minutes
18
Spot in the rotation
#3

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Long Beach State: 32 games, 14 starts, 21.9 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game8.144thMM #415
  • Rebounds per game3.672ndMM #200
  • Assists per game2.673rdMM #188
  • Steals per game1.278thMM #129
  • Blocks per game0.379thMM #118
  • Turnovers per game1.065thMM #288
  • Field goal %44.6%(95-213)69thMM #246
  • 3-point %32.9%(23-70)44thMM #439
  • Free throw %80.7%(46-57)69thMM #235

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate19.3%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating112.156thMM #303

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating105.077thMM #179

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %54.4%49thMM #387

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %50.0%49thMM #382

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover2.5292ndMM #51

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %2.6%1stMM #841

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate26.8%40thMM #495

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.12570thMM #172

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Rob Diaz III

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Jace Whiting

    UTEP · G · Senior

    79%match

    Transfer from Weber State

    +0.25 impact · 11.2 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.7 ast

    Compare
  • Tye Dorset

    Merrimack · G · Junior

    76%match

    Returning

    +0.04 impact · 11.7 pts · 3.1 reb · 2.2 ast

    Compare
  • Rasheed Jones

    Rutgers · G · Senior

    74%match

    Transfer from Coastal Carolina

    +0.14 impact · 14.7 pts · 4.6 reb · 2.8 ast

    Compare
  • Tate McCubbin

    Northern Iowa · G · Junior

    72%match

    Transfer from Austin Peay

    +0.18 impact · 9.7 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.4 ast

    Compare
  • Rakim Chaney

    Valparaiso · G · Sophomore

    71%match

    Returning

    +0.18 impact · 10.4 pts · 3.4 reb · 2.8 ast

    Compare
  • Elijah Perryman

    Cincinnati · G · Sophomore

    71%match

    Transfer from Utah State

    +0.60 impact · 4.4 pts · 1.6 reb · 3.1 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).