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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Melvin Bell Jr.

North Dakota State · Guard · Sophomore · 6-4 · #1

Transfer from San José State

#3103Overall
-0.37Projected impact
  • #1751 guard in the country
  • #1519 in the transfer portal
  • #2239 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 20 minutes a game) at North Dakota State: a smaller role than he had at San José State (33.4 min).

Projected minutes
20
Spot in the rotation
#2

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at San José State: 33 games, 24 starts, 33.4 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game8.748thMM #375
  • Rebounds per game4.181stMM #139
  • Assists per game0.56thMM #772
  • Steals per game0.957thMM #289
  • Blocks per game0.011thMM #655
  • Turnovers per game1.253rdMM #393
  • Field goal %41.2%(93-226)46thMM #432
  • 3-point %27.0%(17-63)15thMM #694
  • Free throw %62.4%(83-133)10thMM #735

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate15.5%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating102.925thMM #588

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating122.12ndMM #827

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %50.3%21stMM #637

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %44.9%18thMM #666

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover0.471stMM #826

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %38.8%96thMM #42

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate58.8%95thMM #47

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.0185thMM #796

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Melvin Bell Jr.

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Caleb Smith

    Cal State Northridge · G · Senior

    72%match

    Transfer from Rider

    -0.36 impact · 7.2 pts · 7.1 reb · 1.4 ast

    Compare
  • Raysean Johnson

    Fairleigh Dickinson · G · Junior

    67%match

    Returning

    -0.31 impact · 4.6 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.6 ast

    Compare
  • Anquan Boldin Jr.

    Stonehill · G · Senior

    67%match

    Transfer from Florida A&M

    -0.14 impact · 5.8 pts · 3 reb · 0.9 ast

    Compare
  • BJ Plummer

    North Florida · G · Sophomore

    67%match

    Returning

    -0.35 impact · 7.7 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.2 ast

    Compare
  • Colin Hawkins

    Pittsburgh · G · Junior

    65%match

    Transfer from Gardner-Webb

    -0.46 impact · 8.2 pts · 1.8 reb · 2.1 ast

    Compare
  • Bryson Wilson

    Saint Peter's · G · Senior

    64%match

    Transfer from Binghamton

    -0.41 impact · 9.9 pts · 4.4 reb · 0.9 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).