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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Royal Blue Smith

Arkansas State · Guard · Sophomore · 6-3 · #3

Returning

#1716Overall
-0.01Projected impact
  • #871 guard in the country
  • #1020 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 13 minutes a game) at Arkansas State. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
13
Spot in the rotation
#4

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Arkansas State: 27 games, 3 starts, 13.1 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game5.423rdMM #630
  • Rebounds per game1.716thMM #675
  • Assists per game1.127thMM #570
  • Steals per game0.738thMM #446
  • Blocks per game0.011thMM #655
  • Turnovers per game1.159thMM #352
  • Field goal %44.0%(51-116)65thMM #279
  • 3-point %36.1%(26-72)66thMM #254
  • Free throw %53.1%(17-32)3rdMM #812

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate21.1%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating105.935thMM #483

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating104.281stMM #144

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %55.7%59thMM #309

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %55.2%82ndMM #153

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.0323rdMM #626

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %26.7%70thMM #259

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate27.6%43rdMM #474

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.11361stMM #243

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Royal Blue Smith

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Kheni Briggs

    New Haven · G · Senior

    74%match

    Returning

    -0.22 impact · 6.9 pts · 1.3 reb · 1.2 ast

    Compare
  • Justus McNair

    Valparaiso · G · Junior

    70%match

    Returning

    +0.03 impact · 7.9 pts · 1.8 reb · 1 ast

    Compare
  • Jacob Taylor

    Charleston Southern · G · Sophomore

    69%match

    Returning

    -0.20 impact · 5.2 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.1 ast

    Compare
  • Chris Davis Jr.

    South Florida · G · Sophomore

    69%match

    Transfer from Charleston

    +0.03 impact · 7.6 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.6 ast

    Compare
  • Jaylen Benard

    Longwood · G · Senior

    68%match

    Returning

    -0.07 impact · 7.3 pts · 3.7 reb · 0.9 ast

    Compare
  • Michael Wilson Jr.

    Canisius · G · Junior

    68%match

    Transfer from Bellarmine

    -0.07 impact · 5.7 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.7 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).