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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

TJ Nadeau

Tulane · Guard · Junior · 6-5 · #33

Transfer from Detroit Mercy

#740Overall
+0.38Projected impact
  • #372 guard in the country
  • #412 in the transfer portal
  • #273 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 22 minutes a game) at Tulane, as a floor spacer: a role like the one he had at Detroit Mercy (26.5 min).

Projected minutes
22
Spot in the rotation
#2

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Detroit Mercy: 31 games, 31 starts, 26.5 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 839 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game13.882ndMM #98
  • Rebounds per game3.262ndMM #281
  • Assists per game1.023rdMM #602
  • Steals per game0.629thMM #532
  • Blocks per game0.263rdMM #212
  • Turnovers per game0.971stMM #233
  • Field goal %49.0%(144-294)90thMM #83
  • 3-point %46.7%(70-150)99thMM #11
  • Free throw %86.3%(69-80)89thMM #88

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 839 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate21.4%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating132.198thMM #8

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating114.620thMM #657

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %64.9%98thMM #21

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %60.9%97thMM #21

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.1027thMM #581

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %22.0%52ndMM #410

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate27.2%41stMM #479

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.16189thMM #52

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like TJ Nadeau

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Kevin Overton

    Auburn · G · Senior

    79%match

    Returning

    +1.12 impact · 14.1 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.3 ast

    Compare
  • Bryson Cokley

    Elon · G · Junior

    77%match

    Returning

    +0.20 impact · 12.3 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.2 ast

    Compare
  • Brett Decker Jr.

    Baylor · G · Junior

    77%match

    Transfer from Liberty

    +0.83 impact · 16.9 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.1 ast

    Compare
  • Nyle Ralph-Beyer

    VCU · G · Junior

    75%match

    Transfer from Sacred Heart

    -0.02 impact · 14.3 pts · 3.8 reb · 0.7 ast

    Compare
  • Paul McNeil Jr.

    NC State · G · Junior

    74%match

    Returning

    +1.52 impact · 13.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.8 ast

    Compare
  • Maban Jabriel

    Maryland · G · Junior

    73%match

    Transfer from Queens University

    +0.23 impact · 7.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 1 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).