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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Tolu Samuels

Northern Illinois · Forward · Senior · 6-8 · #3

Transfer from Southern Indiana

#2563Overall
-0.16Projected impact
  • #1013 forward in the country
  • #1282 in the transfer portal
  • #1758 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 22 minutes a game) at Northern Illinois, as a rebounder: a smaller role than he had at Southern Indiana (29.5 min).

Projected minutes
22
Spot in the rotation
#3

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Southern Indiana: 29 games, 26 starts, 29.5 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 464 mid-major forwardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game7.145thMM #216
  • Rebounds per game8.697thMM #4
  • Assists per game1.369thMM #106
  • Steals per game0.542ndMM #210
  • Blocks per game0.980thMM #68
  • Turnovers per game1.053rdMM #228
  • Field goal %44.6%(70-157)28thMM #311
  • 3-point %25.0%(3-12)35thMM #285
  • Free throw %51.2%(64-125)11thMM #403

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I forward who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 464 mid-major forwardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate13.9%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating105.524thMM #313

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating109.238thMM #275

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %48.8%7thMM #419

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %45.5%8thMM #420

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.2878thMM #90

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %32.9%50thMM #234

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate79.6%97thMM #10

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.07021stMM #339

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Tolu Samuels

The closest matches among every forward in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Anthony Enoh

    Kennesaw State · F · Senior

    68%match

    Transfer from Georgia State

    -0.14 impact · 5 pts · 5 reb · 0.8 ast

    Compare
  • Shawn Simmons II

    Houston Christian · F · Senior

    65%match

    Transfer from UMass Lowell

    -0.11 impact · 6.7 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.1 ast

    Compare
  • Kaidon Rayfield

    Northern Colorado · F · Sophomore

    65%match

    Transfer from UTSA

    -0.14 impact · 6.7 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.8 ast

    Compare
  • Victor Okojie

    UMass Lowell · F · Sophomore

    63%match

    Returning

    -0.11 impact · 5 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.7 ast

    Compare
  • Ethan Meuser

    Pepperdine · F · Senior

    62%match

    Transfer from Stonehill

    -0.05 impact · 6.1 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.2 ast

    Compare
  • Tate Laczkowski

    Army · F · Senior

    61%match

    Returning

    -0.10 impact · 5.2 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.9 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).