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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

David Douglas Jr.

Northern Illinois · Guard · Senior · 6-5 · #15

Transfer from Fresno State

#1595Overall
+0.02Projected impact
  • #804 guard in the country
  • #885 in the transfer portal
  • #918 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 18 minutes a game) at Northern Illinois, as a floor spacer: a role like the one he had at Fresno State (17.8 min).

Projected minutes
18
Spot in the rotation
#5

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Fresno State: 18 games, 8 starts, 17.8 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game7.237thMM #470
  • Rebounds per game1.48thMM #758
  • Assists per game0.21stMM #832
  • Steals per game0.35thMM #772
  • Blocks per game0.138thMM #372
  • Turnovers per game0.687thMM #93
  • Field goal %42.4%(39-92)54thMM #356
  • 3-point %39.7%(29-73)87thMM #103
  • Free throw %71.9%(23-32)32ndMM #532

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate18.3%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating117.976thMM #159

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating111.041stMM #482

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %61.3%89thMM #80

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %58.2%91stMM #68

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover0.301stMM #839

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %19.2%40thMM #530

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate34.8%63rdMM #313

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.10050thMM #333

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like David Douglas Jr.

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Nick Dorn

    Miami · G · Senior

    76%match

    Transfer from Indiana

    +0.11 impact · 8.1 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.3 ast

    Compare
  • Shamarrie Hugie

    Austin Peay · G · Senior

    74%match

    Transfer from Marshall

    -0.01 impact · 4.3 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.5 ast

    Compare
  • Ethan Simmon

    Stony Brook · G · Senior

    73%match

    Returning

    -0.08 impact · 5.8 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.4 ast

    Compare
  • Taison Chatman

    Utah · G · Junior

    72%match

    Transfer from Ohio State

    +0.02 impact · 4.3 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.9 ast

    Compare
  • Bryce Heard

    Wichita State · G · Junior

    71%match

    Transfer from Dayton

    +0.18 impact · 6.6 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.8 ast

    Compare
  • Jayden Tyler

    Youngstown State · G · Sophomore

    69%match

    Transfer from Wofford

    -0.05 impact · 5.4 pts · 1 reb · 0.5 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).