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Week 12 · Game preview · Fri 6:00 PM ET

Iowa State

4-5 · Big 12 · Away

at

UCF

5-4 · Big 12 · Home

Statboy projection

UCF by 5.0

63% to win

Iowa State 37%UCF 63%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

Iowa StateUCF
#60Résumé rank#49
+7.6#53Power rating+10.7#43
+5.8#44Offense+3.8#58
+2.1#70Defense+5.9#42
+0.8#39Special teams+1.7#7

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

Iowa StateUCF
29.2#62Points per game30.1#55
28.9#104Points allowed26.0#79
0.23#40Offense EPA/play0.16#65
0.08#70Defense EPA/play-0.01#39
44.0%#66Offense success rate46.3%#41
39.8%#69Defense success rate38.7%#52
5.9#53Yards per play5.5#91
35.0%#1123rd down35.3%#109
63.8%#42Red zone TD rate64.1%#36
14.9%#54Havoc created16.0%#40
2.0#49Turnover margin3.0#43

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

Iowa State

UCF

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

Iowa State

UCF