Week 11 · Game preview · Sat 3:30 PM ET
Statboy projection
Virginia by 14.0
82% to win
California 18%Virginia 82%
From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.
Rankings
California |  Virginia | |
|---|---|---|
| #99 | Résumé rank | #82 |
| -7.3#107 | Power rating | +4.7#66 |
| -5.0#117 | Offense | +2.0#72 |
| +0.1#81 | Defense | +4.1#55 |
| -0.3#106 | Special teams | +0.2#68 |
Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.
Team stats
| California | Virginia | |
|---|---|---|
| 21.9#109 | Points per game | 25.9#88 |
| 31.6#119 | Points allowed | 23.1#55 |
| 0.01#119 | Offense EPA/play | 0.14#74 |
| 0.14#90 | Defense EPA/play | 0.05#59 |
| 39.4%#105 | Offense success rate | 43.4%#71 |
| 39.4%#63 | Defense success rate | 38.2%#46 |
| 5.1#121 | Yards per play | 5.3#106 |
| 35.5%#107 | 3rd down | 30.0%#134 |
| 62.3%#63 | Red zone TD rate | 62.7%#55 |
| 12.4%#114 | Havoc created | 15.8%#44 |
| 1.0#56 | Turnover margin | 3.0#43 |
This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).
Players to watch
California
Kingston Lopa#6 DB
39 tackles · 1 TFL · 0 sacks · 5 INT
AJ Tuitele#169 LB
49 tackles · 4.5 TFL · 3 sacks
Taimane Purcell#40 TE
17 catches · 222 yds · 1 TD
Virginia
Matthew Fobbs-White#24 DE
29 tackles · 8 TFL · 5 sacks
Kam Robinson#64 LB
34 tackles · 5.5 TFL · 2 sacks · 1 INT
Jekail Middlebrook#24 RB
512 rush yds · 4 TD
Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).