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Week 12 · Game preview · Fri 8:00 PM ET

#10Oregon

6-3 · Big Ten · Away

at

Michigan State

3-6 · Big Ten · Home

Statboy projection

Oregon by 13.0

80% to win

Oregon 80%Michigan State 20%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

OregonMichigan State
#10Résumé rank#73
+20.2#15Power rating+5.1#63
+4.4#53Offense+0.5#86
+14.6#5Defense+4.7#51
+1.1#24Special teams+1.4#14

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

OregonMichigan State
34.1#29Points per game19.3#127
22.1#49Points allowed23.6#59
0.19#50Offense EPA/play0.09#92
-0.13#6Defense EPA/play0.02#49
43.8%#67Offense success rate44.9%#56
30.2%#3Defense success rate38.8%#55
6.0#48Yards per play4.5#136
37.8%#893rd down39.0%#82
62.3%#64Red zone TD rate58.0%#112
18.1%#15Havoc created16.2%#37
0.0#65Turnover margin-2.0#87

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

Oregon

Michigan State

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

Oregon

Michigan State