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Week 11 · Game preview · Sat 6:00 PM ET

Oregon State

5-4 · Pac-12 · Away

at

#22Boise State

8-1 · Pac-12 · Home

Statboy projection

Boise State by 13.0

80% to win

Oregon State 20%Boise State 80%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

Oregon StateBoise State
#75Résumé rank#22
+5.1#62Power rating+16.0#30
+6.2#42Offense+12.6#14
+0.5#78Defense+3.4#60
-0.1#89Special teams-0.1#88

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

Oregon StateBoise State
38.0#12Points per game39.0#10
26.9#90Points allowed25.2#71
0.23#41Offense EPA/play0.35#6
0.10#75Defense EPA/play0.07#66
45.4%#51Offense success rate48.7%#24
41.3%#77Defense success rate38.0%#40
6.7#12Yards per play6.7#15
44.3%#333rd down53.0%#4
66.6%#11Red zone TD rate65.8%#18
14.7%#60Havoc created16.4%#34
4.0#31Turnover margin3.0#43

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

Oregon State

Boise State

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

Oregon State

  • Nov 7vs Texas StateL21-42
  • Oct 31at Fresno StateL22-38
  • Oct 17vs Washington StateW48-30
  • Oct 10vs San Diego StateW66-14
  • Oct 3at Colorado StateW56-26

Boise State

  • Nov 7at Colorado StateW64-38
  • Oct 31vs Texas StateW46-45
  • Oct 24at Washington StateW31-10
  • Oct 10at Fresno StateW38-31
  • Oct 3vs Utah StateW37-18