Week 11 · Game preview · Sat 4:00 PM ET
Statboy projection
Texas State by 11.0
76% to win
From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.
Rankings
Fresno State |  Texas State | |
|---|---|---|
| #74 | Résumé rank | #62 |
| +0.4#81 | Power rating | +9.5#46 |
| -1.4#94 | Offense | +10.4#19 |
| +2.7#65 | Defense | +1.0#73 |
| +0.6#51 | Special teams | -0.8#123 |
Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.
Team stats
| Fresno State | Texas State | |
|---|---|---|
| 26.8#78 | Points per game | 38.6#11 |
| 20.6#38 | Points allowed | 30.8#115 |
| 0.11#88 | Offense EPA/play | 0.28#23 |
| 0.03#51 | Defense EPA/play | 0.08#69 |
| 38.6%#114 | Offense success rate | 49.6%#21 |
| 43.2%#97 | Defense success rate | 42.0%#83 |
| 5.7#79 | Yards per play | 6.9#10 |
| 36.7%#98 | 3rd down | 55.0%#2 |
| 60.1%#91 | Red zone TD rate | 62.5%#58 |
| 15.8%#43 | Havoc created | 14.1%#73 |
| 9.0#8 | Turnover margin | -4.0#107 |
This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).
Players to watch
Fresno State
Jayden Mandal#56 QB
1633 pass yds · 5 TD · 2 INT · 218 rush yds
Dylan Hampsten#39 DL
40 tackles · 9.5 TFL · 5 sacks
Simeon Harris#65 DB
40 tackles · 1.5 TFL · 0 sacks · 3 INT
Texas State
Brad Jackson#13 QB
2056 pass yds · 16 TD · 3 INT · 523 rush yds
Jayden Bradley#80 DB
62 tackles · 2 TFL · 1 sacks · 2 INT
Tymere Jackson#96 DL
31 tackles · 6.5 TFL · 3.5 sacks
Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).