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Week 12 · Game preview · Sat 7:30 PM ET

Colorado State

3-6 · Pac-12 · Away

at

Fresno State

5-4 · Pac-12 · Home

Statboy projection

Fresno State by 11.5

77% to win

Colorado State 23%Fresno State 77%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

Colorado StateFresno State
#113Résumé rank#74
-9.1#112Power rating+0.4#81
+7.7#31Offense-1.4#94
-14.3#138Defense+2.7#65
-0.3#98Special teams+0.6#51

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

Colorado StateFresno State
35.8#20Points per game26.8#78
44.8#138Points allowed20.6#38
0.27#25Offense EPA/play0.11#88
0.35#138Defense EPA/play0.03#51
45.5%#48Offense success rate38.6%#114
53.6%#138Defense success rate43.2%#97
6.7#16Yards per play5.7#79
44.6%#313rd down36.7%#98
68.7%#5Red zone TD rate60.1%#91
12.5%#111Havoc created15.8%#43
6.0#18Turnover margin9.0#8

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

Colorado State

Fresno State

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

Colorado State

  • Nov 7vs Boise StateL38-64
  • Oct 31at Utah StateL14-31
  • Oct 24vs San Diego StateW56-49
  • Oct 15at Texas StateL27-66
  • Oct 3vs Oregon StateL26-56

Fresno State

  • Nov 7at Utah StateL10-17
  • Oct 31vs Oregon StateW38-22
  • Oct 17at San Diego StateL23-26
  • Oct 10vs Boise StateL31-38
  • Oct 3at Washington StateW26-6