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Week 12 · Game preview · Sat 9:30 PM ET

San Diego State

4-5 · Pac-12 · Away

at

#22Boise State

8-1 · Pac-12 · Home

Statboy projection

Boise State by 24.5

94% to win

San Diego State 6%Boise State 94%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

San Diego StateBoise State
#101Résumé rank#22
-6.3#100Power rating+16.0#30
-4.5#111Offense+12.6#14
-1.4#90Defense+3.4#60
+1.4#15Special teams-0.1#88

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

San Diego StateBoise State
26.4#80Points per game39.0#10
34.3#129Points allowed25.2#71
0.05#106Offense EPA/play0.35#6
0.09#72Defense EPA/play0.07#66
36.9%#126Offense success rate48.7%#24
47.5%#133Defense success rate38.0%#40
5.3#110Yards per play6.7#15
34.5%#1173rd down53.0%#4
63.3%#48Red zone TD rate65.8%#18
12.4%#113Havoc created16.4%#34
-2.0#87Turnover margin3.0#43

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

San Diego State

Boise State

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

San Diego State

  • Oct 31vs Washington StateW26-20
  • Oct 24at Colorado StateL49-56
  • Oct 17vs Fresno StateW26-23
  • Oct 10at Oregon StateL14-66
  • Oct 3vs Texas StateW31-29

Boise State

  • Nov 7at Colorado StateW64-38
  • Oct 31vs Texas StateW46-45
  • Oct 24at Washington StateW31-10
  • Oct 10at Fresno StateW38-31
  • Oct 3vs Utah StateW37-18