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Week 11 · Game preview · Thu 8:00 PM ET

Memphis

7-2 · American Athletic · Away

at

South Florida

6-3 · American Athletic · Home

Statboy projection

Memphis by 4.5

61% to win

Memphis 61%South Florida 39%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

MemphisSouth Florida
#44Résumé rank#71
+4.6#67Power rating-1.9#90
+5.1#49Offense-0.7#90
+0.8#75Defense-0.8#86
-0.6#118Special teams+0.9#33

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

MemphisSouth Florida
37.6#14Points per game25.9#88
23.6#59Points allowed15.1#10
0.18#54Offense EPA/play0.07#97
0.12#81Defense EPA/play0.11#80
47.3%#30Offense success rate42.5%#77
39.6%#66Defense success rate44.0%#107
7.2#7Yards per play5.4#105
46.4%#233rd down37.3%#94
58.7%#106Red zone TD rate60.0%#95
13.1%#100Havoc created12.9%#105
5.0#22Turnover margin6.0#18

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

Memphis

South Florida

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

Memphis

South Florida