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Week 11 · Game preview · Sat 9:00 PM ET

North Texas

7-2 · American Athletic · Away

at

UTSA

7-2 · American Athletic · Home

Statboy projection

North Texas by 6.0

65% to win

North Texas 65%UTSA 35%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

North TexasUTSA
#41Résumé rank#42
+11.7#41Power rating+3.5#71
+12.7#13Offense+3.7#60
-1.1#87Defense+0.5#77
+0.4#60Special teams-0.3#104

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

North TexasUTSA
44.7#2Points per game33.0#35
30.9#116Points allowed29.8#111
0.35#8Offense EPA/play0.18#55
0.13#86Defense EPA/play0.12#82
49.1%#23Offense success rate44.3%#64
43.3%#99Defense success rate40.6%#72
7.5#3Yards per play6.0#47
50.0%#133rd down40.9%#57
66.1%#17Red zone TD rate59.6%#98
12.1%#120Havoc created10.9%#134
4.0#31Turnover margin5.0#22

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

North Texas

UTSA

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

North Texas

UTSA