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Week 12 · Game preview · Sat 12:00 PM ET

East Carolina

5-4 · American Athletic · Away

at

Army

5-4 · American Athletic · Home

Statboy projection

Army by 3.0

58% to win

East Carolina 42%Army 58%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

East CarolinaArmy
#89Résumé rank#78
-0.7#86Power rating+0.3#82
-2.9#102Offense+7.0#36
+3.0#64Defense-6.2#124
+0.5#54Special teams+1.1#26

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

East CarolinaArmy
23.6#101Points per game32.2#44
23.3#56Points allowed25.3#72
0.06#100Offense EPA/play0.24#34
0.08#67Defense EPA/play0.22#123
39.1%#108Offense success rate46.8%#36
38.4%#51Defense success rate46.7%#129
5.1#116Yards per play6.2#41
32.3%#1263rd down46.3%#25
56.3%#123Red zone TD rate66.4%#13
14.9%#54Havoc created10.9%#134
-3.0#97Turnover margin1.0#56

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

East Carolina

Army

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

East Carolina

Army