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Week 11 · Game preview · Sat 7:00 PM ET

San José State

5-5 · Mountain West · Away

at

Air Force

7-2 · Mountain West · Home

Statboy projection

Air Force by 14.0

82% to win

San José State 18%Air Force 82%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

San José StateAir Force
#106Résumé rank#52
-12.1#122Power rating-0.1#84
-8.0#129Offense+3.3#64
-2.3#104Defense-2.1#97
+0.3#64Special teams-0.5#113

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

San José StateAir Force
20.9#115Points per game28.7#67
22.0#47Points allowed21.4#42
-0.01#126Offense EPA/play0.14#77
0.12#83Defense EPA/play0.14#93
33.7%#136Offense success rate46.6%#39
46.2%#125Defense success rate43.0%#93
5.4#103Yards per play5.5#99
30.4%#1323rd down51.2%#10
53.5%#135Red zone TD rate59.8%#97
13.9%#75Havoc created13.5%#87
4.0#31Turnover margin1.0#56

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

San José State

Air Force

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

San José State

Air Force