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Week 13 · Game preview · Fri 12:00 PM ET

Toledo

7-2 · Mid-American · Away

at

Ohio

7-2 · Mid-American · Home

Statboy projection

Toledo by 2.0

55% to win

Toledo 55%Ohio 45%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

ToledoOhio
#61Résumé rank#56
+3.0#72Power rating-0.9#87
-0.3#88Offense+1.9#75
+4.8#50Defense-2.3#104
-0.6#115Special teams+0.2#69

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

ToledoOhio
35.4#22Points per game29.4#58
24.4#67Points allowed21.7#43
0.12#85Offense EPA/play0.14#75
0.05#57Defense EPA/play0.15#101
40.0%#98Offense success rate43.6%#69
37.3%#38Defense success rate43.8%#104
6.5#25Yards per play6.1#45
42.9%#413rd down47.7%#20
62.4%#58Red zone TD rate63.4%#45
14.7%#62Havoc created13.9%#75
1.0#56Turnover margin-3.0#97

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

Toledo

Ohio

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

Toledo

  • Nov 4at Sacramento StateW20-17
  • Oct 24vs Western MichiganW45-38
  • Oct 17at Eastern MichiganW34-14
  • Oct 10vs BuffaloL8-23
  • Oct 3at Ball StateW39-24

Ohio

  • Nov 3at AkronW28-20
  • Oct 24vs Eastern MichiganW24-20
  • Oct 17at Sacramento StateW48-7
  • Oct 10vs Central MichiganW31-14
  • Oct 3at Kent StateW13-10