Week 13 · Game preview · Sat 3:00 PM ET
Statboy projection
Arkansas State by 1.0
53% to win
From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.
Rankings
Troy |  Arkansas State | |
|---|---|---|
| #111 | Résumé rank | #112 |
| -6.5#101 | Power rating | -7.3#108 |
| -4.6#113 | Offense | +1.5#79 |
| -0.1#82 | Defense | -6.0#123 |
| +0.1#78 | Special teams | -0.7#121 |
Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.
Team stats
| Troy | Arkansas State | |
|---|---|---|
| 22.3#106 | Points per game | 27.4#73 |
| 26.2#82 | Points allowed | 26.3#84 |
| 0.03#113 | Offense EPA/play | 0.12#86 |
| 0.11#77 | Defense EPA/play | 0.21#122 |
| 38.8%#112 | Offense success rate | 45.2%#55 |
| 42.3%#86 | Defense success rate | 46.3%#127 |
| 5.2#115 | Yards per play | 6.1#43 |
| 31.3%#130 | 3rd down | 44.2%#35 |
| 63.3%#49 | Red zone TD rate | 64.6%#31 |
| 13.4%#90 | Havoc created | 11.0%#131 |
| 0.0#65 | Turnover margin | 5.0#23 |
This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).
Players to watch
Troy
Donnie Smith#11 DB
43 tackles · 8.5 TFL · 7 sacks
Justin Powe#24 S
67 tackles · 2.5 TFL · 0 sacks · 3 INT
TK Keyes#129 WR
15 catches · 325 yds · 3 TD
Arkansas State
Tre Stevens#70 LB
47 tackles · 6.5 TFL · 2 sacks · 1 INT
Brandon Greil#126 S
23 tackles · 2 TFL · 0 sacks · 2 INT
Hunter Summers#73 WR
31 catches · 423 yds · 2 TD
Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).