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Week 11 · Game preview · Sat 3:30 PM ET

Middle Tennessee

5-4 · Conference USA · Away

at

Liberty

8-1 · Conference USA · Home

Statboy projection

Liberty by 23.5

94% to win

Middle Tennessee 6%Liberty 94%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

Middle TennesseeLiberty
#100Résumé rank#33
-10.9#116Power rating+10.8#42
-2.8#101Offense+6.6#37
-7.2#131Defense+3.5#57
+0.8#40Special teams+0.9#32

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

Middle TennesseeLiberty
26.9#77Points per game33.3#33
31.0#117Points allowed13.6#6
0.06#101Offense EPA/play0.20#47
0.23#128Defense EPA/play0.05#62
39.9%#100Offense success rate49.3%#22
47.4%#131Defense success rate38.3%#48
5.9#56Yards per play6.4#30
36.3%#1013rd down45.2%#29
60.5%#87Red zone TD rate60.2%#90
9.8%#138Havoc created14.9%#53
5.0#22Turnover margin8.0#12

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

Middle Tennessee

Liberty

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

Middle Tennessee

  • Nov 7vs Western KentuckyW51-42
  • Oct 28vs Kennesaw StateL28-44
  • Oct 20at Florida InternationalW26-23
  • Oct 13vs DelawareW33-30
  • Oct 3at KansasL0-55

Liberty

  • Nov 7at New Mexico StateW30-14
  • Oct 31vs Florida InternationalW49-10
  • Oct 22at Kennesaw StateW34-6
  • Oct 8vs Sam HoustonW35-3
  • Oct 2at DelawareW30-14