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Week 13 · Game preview · Sat 2:00 PM ET

Liberty

8-1 · Conference USA · Away

at

Missouri State

3-6 · Conference USA · Home

Statboy projection

Liberty by 23.5

93% to win

Liberty 93%Missouri State 7%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

LibertyMissouri State
#33Résumé rank#119
+10.9#42Power rating-14.7#128
+6.8#37Offense-4.5#112
+3.5#57Defense-7.1#130
+0.8#35Special teams-0.6#114

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

LibertyMissouri State
33.3#33Points per game23.9#97
13.6#6Points allowed30.0#112
0.20#47Offense EPA/play0.02#116
0.05#62Defense EPA/play0.25#132
49.4%#22Offense success rate39.0%#109
38.3%#48Defense success rate46.0%#121
6.4#30Yards per play5.7#83
45.2%#293rd down36.6%#100
60.1%#90Red zone TD rate55.4%#128
14.9%#53Havoc created14.6%#65
8.0#12Turnover margin-1.0#73

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

Liberty

Missouri State

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

Liberty

  • Nov 7at New Mexico StateW30-14
  • Oct 31vs Florida InternationalW49-10
  • Oct 22at Kennesaw StateW34-6
  • Oct 8vs Sam HoustonW35-3
  • Oct 2at DelawareW30-14

Missouri State

  • Nov 7at Florida InternationalL20-23
  • Oct 27vs Sam HoustonW24-3
  • Oct 20at DelawareL38-61
  • Oct 14vs Kennesaw StateW24-21
  • Oct 8at Western KentuckyL13-34