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Week 12 · Game preview · Sat 2:00 PM ET

Middle Tennessee

5-4 · Conference USA · Away

at

Sam Houston

1-8 · Conference USA · Home

Statboy projection

Middle Tennessee by 1.0

53% to win

Middle Tennessee 53%Sam Houston 47%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

Middle TennesseeSam Houston
#100Résumé rank#137
-10.9#116Power rating-14.0#127
-2.8#101Offense-9.0#133
-7.1#131Defense-1.5#92
+0.8#39Special teams-0.1#84

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

Middle TennesseeSam Houston
26.9#77Points per game17.6#132
31.0#117Points allowed27.6#97
0.06#101Offense EPA/play-0.05#132
0.23#128Defense EPA/play0.15#103
39.9%#100Offense success rate36.1%#128
47.4%#131Defense success rate41.4%#79
5.7#75Yards per play5.1#120
34.2%#1173rd down33.1%#122
60.5%#87Red zone TD rate54.6%#132
9.9%#138Havoc created15.9%#42
6.0#18Turnover margin0.0#65

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

Middle Tennessee

Sam Houston

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

Middle Tennessee

  • Nov 7vs Western KentuckyW51-42
  • Oct 28vs Kennesaw StateL28-44
  • Oct 20at Florida InternationalW26-23
  • Oct 13vs DelawareW33-30
  • Oct 3at KansasL0-55

Sam Houston

  • Nov 7at Jacksonville StateL14-47
  • Oct 27at Missouri StateL3-24
  • Oct 21vs New Mexico StateL24-30
  • Oct 14vs Western KentuckyL3-16
  • Oct 8at LibertyL3-35