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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Caleb Blackwell

Tarleton State · Guard · Senior · 6-1 · #1

Transfer from UTEP

#2517Overall
-0.15Projected impact
  • #1342 guard in the country
  • #1261 in the transfer portal
  • #1716 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 20 minutes a game) at Tarleton State, as a floor spacer: a smaller role than he had at UTEP (30.4 min).

Projected minutes
20
Spot in the rotation
#2

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at UTEP: 28 games, 27 starts, 30.4 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game10.663rdMM #244
  • Rebounds per game2.643rdMM #428
  • Assists per game2.978thMM #144
  • Steals per game1.383rdMM #92
  • Blocks per game0.138thMM #372
  • Turnovers per game1.728thMM #621
  • Field goal %40.9%(108-264)43rdMM #450
  • 3-point %36.4%(48-132)68thMM #233
  • Free throw %69.6%(32-46)25thMM #594

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate20.5%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating103.427thMM #568

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating108.558thMM #348

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %52.1%32ndMM #522

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %50.0%49thMM #382

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.7267thMM #233

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %8.1%4thMM #807

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate17.4%14thMM #713

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.08034thMM #480

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Caleb Blackwell

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Jermaine Washington

    New Mexico State · G · Junior

    76%match

    Transfer from San José State

    -0.14 impact · 11.5 pts · 1.8 reb · 2.9 ast

    Compare
  • Sami Pissis

    Alabama A&M · G · Senior

    75%match

    Returning

    -0.07 impact · 10.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 4 ast

    Compare
  • Johnny Kinziger

    Illinois State · G · Senior

    75%match

    Returning

    +0.03 impact · 11.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.3 ast

    Compare
  • Dez White

    Temple · G · Senior

    74%match

    Transfer from Oregon State

    -0.07 impact · 9.7 pts · 2.7 reb · 2.1 ast

    Compare
  • Dylan Williamson

    Rhode Island · G · Senior

    74%match

    Transfer from Towson

    -0.19 impact · 14.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.4 ast

    Compare
  • Justin Begg

    Sam Houston · G · Junior

    73%match

    Returning

    -0.14 impact · 9.5 pts · 2.6 reb · 3.6 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).