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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Chase Walker

Illinois State · Forward · Senior · 6-9 · #35

Returning

#156Overall
+1.26Projected impact
  • #69 forward in the country
  • #25 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 22 minutes a game) at Illinois State, as a primary scorer. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
23
Spot in the rotation
#3

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Illinois State: 32 games, 32 starts, 22.6 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 462 mid-major forwardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game13.789thMM #24
  • Rebounds per game5.470thMM #100
  • Assists per game2.190thMM #24
  • Steals per game0.980thMM #55
  • Blocks per game0.661stMM #137
  • Turnovers per game2.34thMM #448
  • Field goal %54.9%(157-286)72ndMM #117
  • 3-point %30.0%(9-30)49thMM #222
  • Free throw %70.1%(115-164)59thMM #173

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I forward who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 462 mid-major forwardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate31.3%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating114.758thMM #150

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating98.492ndMM #35

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %61.1%73rdMM #96

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %56.5%62ndMM #149

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover0.9352ndMM #193

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %39.1%74thMM #125

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate57.3%84thMM #71

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.20596thMM #8

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Chase Walker

The closest matches among every forward in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Tomislav Buljan

    Maryland · F · Sophomore

    80%match

    Transfer from New Mexico

    +2.10 impact · 13.1 pts · 10.3 reb · 1.5 ast

    Compare
  • Thijs De Ridder

    Virginia · F · Sophomore

    80%match

    Returning

    +2.05 impact · 15.6 pts · 6.2 reb · 1.6 ast

    Compare
  • Malik Reneau

    Miami · F · Senior

    79%match

    Returning

    +2.33 impact · 18.9 pts · 6.5 reb · 2.1 ast

    Compare
  • LJ Wells

    Louisville · F · Senior

    76%match

    Transfer from Northern Kentucky

    +1.17 impact · 15 pts · 7.3 reb · 2.1 ast

    Compare
  • Carter Welling

    Clemson · F · Senior

    76%match

    Returning

    +1.34 impact · 10.2 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.1 ast

    Compare
  • Francis Folefac

    Syracuse · F · Sophomore

    75%match

    Transfer from Siena

    +0.52 impact · 11.3 pts · 5.3 reb · 2.2 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).