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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Malik Messina-Moore

Illinois State · Guard · Senior · 6-5 · #9

Transfer from Xavier

#686Overall
+0.43Projected impact
  • #341 guard in the country
  • #376 in the transfer portal
  • #237 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 24 minutes a game) at Illinois State, as a lead playmaker: a smaller role than he had at Xavier (33.2 min).

Projected minutes
24
Spot in the rotation
#2

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Xavier: 33 games, 33 starts, 33.2 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game10.965thMM #216
  • Rebounds per game3.055thMM #331
  • Assists per game3.889thMM #63
  • Steals per game1.171stMM #177
  • Blocks per game0.138thMM #372
  • Turnovers per game1.536thMM #546
  • Field goal %38.5%(117-304)24thMM #618
  • 3-point %31.8%(50-157)37thMM #505
  • Free throw %80.0%(76-95)66thMM #248

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate17.9%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating109.447thMM #378

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating116.213thMM #719

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %52.1%32ndMM #522

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %46.7%26thMM #597

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover2.5893rdMM #46

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %19.4%41stMM #516

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate31.3%53rdMM #398

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.06626thMM #571

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Malik Messina-Moore

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Jaylen Curry

    Virginia Tech · G · Senior

    79%match

    Transfer from Oklahoma State

    +0.79 impact · 10.1 pts · 3.2 reb · 3.5 ast

    Compare
  • Dasonte Bowen

    Penn State · G · Senior

    79%match

    Transfer from St. Bonaventure

    +0.22 impact · 10.8 pts · 3 reb · 4.8 ast

    Compare
  • Kanye Clary

    Oklahoma State · G · Senior

    79%match

    Returning

    +0.74 impact · 10.6 pts · 2.9 reb · 4.6 ast

    Compare
  • Malik Mack

    Providence · G · Senior

    78%match

    Transfer from Georgetown

    +0.40 impact · 13.6 pts · 3 reb · 4.1 ast

    Compare
  • Jayden Reid

    Memphis · G · Senior

    78%match

    Transfer from Northwestern

    +0.68 impact · 10.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 5 ast

    Compare
  • Cayden Vasko

    UCF · G · Senior

    75%match

    Transfer from Wofford

    +0.34 impact · 10.4 pts · 4.5 reb · 4.1 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).