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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Dorian Hayes

UTSA · Guard · Sophomore · 6-5 · #4

Returning

#3127Overall
-0.41Projected impact
  • #1771 guard in the country
  • #2258 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 24 minutes a game) at UTSA. Fewer minutes than last season.

Projected minutes
24
Spot in the rotation
#3

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at UTSA: 26 games, 23 starts, 30.2 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game8.849thMM #370
  • Rebounds per game1.818thMM #648
  • Assists per game1.853rdMM #342
  • Steals per game0.848thMM #371
  • Blocks per game0.138thMM #372
  • Turnovers per game1.346thMM #453
  • Field goal %33.8%(72-213)6thMM #781
  • 3-point %33.3%(55-165)46thMM #405
  • Free throw %70.7%(29-41)28thMM #559

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate16.4%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating100.920thMM #637

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating118.57thMM #777

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %49.3%17thMM #677

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %46.7%26thMM #597

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover1.4150thMM #381

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %10.9%9thMM #766

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate19.2%18thMM #681

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.0257thMM #784

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Dorian Hayes

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Noah Norgaard

    Western Kentucky · G · Sophomore

    77%match

    Transfer from UNC Greensboro

    -0.34 impact · 7.7 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.5 ast

    Compare
  • Ethan Greenberg

    Air Force · G · Sophomore

    77%match

    Returning

    -0.46 impact · 6.6 pts · 2.3 reb · 1 ast

    Compare
  • Deywilk Tavarez

    Hofstra · G · Senior

    76%match

    Transfer from Loyola Chicago

    -0.28 impact · 8.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.8 ast

    Compare
  • Eric Acker

    Northern Kentucky · G · Senior

    76%match

    Transfer from La Salle

    -0.26 impact · 5.8 pts · 1.3 reb · 1.7 ast

    Compare
  • Corey Caulker

    Florida International · G · Senior

    75%match

    Transfer from East Carolina

    -0.35 impact · 7.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 3.7 ast

    Compare
  • Robert Davis Jr.

    Troy · G · Senior

    75%match

    Transfer from Old Dominion

    -0.38 impact · 9.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.4 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).