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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Ethan Greenberg

Air Force · Guard · Sophomore · 6-4 · #21

Returning

#3163Overall
-0.46Projected impact
  • #1802 guard in the country
  • #2286 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 24 minutes a game) at Air Force. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
24
Spot in the rotation
#4

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Air Force: 32 games, 29 starts, 26.9 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game6.633rdMM #519
  • Rebounds per game2.334thMM #506
  • Assists per game1.023rdMM #604
  • Steals per game0.957thMM #289
  • Blocks per game0.138thMM #372
  • Turnovers per game1.159thMM #352
  • Field goal %36.2%(72-199)13thMM #719
  • 3-point %34.2%(52-152)52ndMM #356
  • Free throw %65.2%(15-23)15thMM #688

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I guard who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 841 mid-major guardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate15.4%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating92.26thMM #787

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating121.03rdMM #815

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %50.4%22ndMM #626

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %49.2%42ndMM #446

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover0.9216thMM #679

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %16.4%28thMM #620

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate11.6%4thMM #800

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40-0.0092ndMM #826

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Ethan Greenberg

The closest matches among every guard in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Tarique Foster

    Mississippi Valley State · G · Senior

    79%match

    Transfer from UAlbany

    -0.22 impact · 5.8 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.9 ast

    Compare
  • Mike Price

    Chicago State · G · Junior

    78%match

    Transfer from Cal State Bakersfield

    -0.44 impact · 6.5 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.8 ast

    Compare
  • Dorian Hayes

    UTSA · G · Sophomore

    77%match

    Returning

    -0.41 impact · 8.8 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.8 ast

    Compare
  • Quin Berger

    Miami · G · Senior

    76%match

    Transfer from Bucknell

    -0.34 impact · 3.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.7 ast

    Compare
  • Isaiah Watts

    UTSA · G · Senior

    74%match

    Transfer from Maryland

    -0.26 impact · 4.3 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.7 ast

    Compare
  • Robert Davis Jr.

    Troy · G · Senior

    72%match

    Transfer from Old Dominion

    -0.38 impact · 9.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.4 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).