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College Basketball · 2026-27 · Preseason

Lucas Hobin

Air Force · Forward · Sophomore · 6-8 · #24

Returning

#3165Overall
-0.46Projected impact
  • #1164 forward in the country
  • #2287 mid-major player

Projected role · 2026-27

Projected starter (about 26 minutes a game) at Air Force, as a secondary scorer. Similar role to last season.

Projected minutes
26
Spot in the rotation
#2

From the Statboy preseason model. It updates once games start.

▸What is impact?

Impact is how many points per game a player adds to his team. 0 is an average player, so a plus number means he's better than average and a minus number means he's below. It's Statboy's own number, based on everything he does on the court and the level he played against.

Last season: the basics

2025-26 at Air Force: 32 games, 25 starts, 29 minutes a game.

MM # = his rank among the 464 mid-major forwardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Points per game11.476thMM #69
  • Rebounds per game2.05thMM #437
  • Assists per game0.625thMM #304
  • Steals per game0.428thMM #285
  • Blocks per game0.16thMM #404
  • Turnovers per game1.335thMM #314
  • Field goal %35.9%(108-301)3rdMM #448
  • 3-point %31.8%(70-220)57thMM #188
  • Free throw %83.3%(80-96)94thMM #23

Last season: advanced

Percentiles compare him with every Division I forward who played 300+ minutes.

MM # = his rank among the 464 mid-major forwardson this season's rosters (300+ minutes last season).

  • Usage rate22.5%style

    Share of his team's possessions he ends (shot, free throws or turnover) while on the floor

  • Offensive rating99.511thMM #391

    Points he produces per 100 possessions he uses

  • Defensive rating123.91stMM #461

    Points allowed per 100 possessions while he's on the floor (lower is better)

  • True shooting %53.3%23rdMM #330

    Scoring efficiency counting 3s and free throws

  • Effective FG %47.5%14thMM #376

    Field goal % with 3s worth 1.5 times a 2

  • Assist-to-turnover0.4814thMM #390

    Assists for every turnover

  • Offensive rebound %12.7%1stMM #458

    Share of his team's missed shots he rebounds while on the floor

  • Free-throw rate31.9%35thMM #291

    Free throws attempted per 100 field goal attempts

  • Win shares per 40.0092ndMM #451

    Wins he created per 40 minutes played

Players like Lucas Hobin

The closest matches among every forward in the country: all of last season's stats compared on the same scale, plus projected impact.

  • Nelson Lamizana

    Coppin State · F · Sophomore

    78%match

    Returning

    -0.26 impact · 6.8 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.8 ast

    Compare
  • Abdou Yadd

    Sacred Heart · F · Sophomore

    77%match

    Returning

    -0.28 impact · 6.2 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.6 ast

    Compare
  • Truman Claytor IV

    Georgia Southern · F · Senior

    72%match

    Transfer from Little Rock

    -0.31 impact · 6.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.7 ast

    Compare
  • Khali Horton

    Morgan State · F · Senior

    71%match

    Transfer from Coppin State

    -0.37 impact · 7.4 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.9 ast

    Compare
  • Ademar Santos

    Delaware State · F · Senior

    70%match

    Returning

    -0.32 impact · 7.3 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.5 ast

    Compare
  • Renars Sondors

    Wyoming · F · Junior

    66%match

    Transfer from UL Monroe

    -0.31 impact · 10.7 pts · 4.2 reb · 1 ast

    Compare

Impact = how many points per game he adds to his team when he plays. 0 is an average player (Statboy's own number).