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Week 11 · Game preview · Sat · TBA

Arizona State

5-4 · Big 12 · Away

at

UCF

5-4 · Big 12 · Home

Statboy projection

UCF by 6.5

67% to win

Arizona State 33%UCF 67%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

Arizona StateUCF
#65Résumé rank#49
+6.0#60Power rating+10.7#43
+1.7#76Offense+3.8#58
+6.1#39Defense+5.9#42
-0.9#125Special teams+1.7#7

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

Arizona StateUCF
28.4#68Points per game30.1#55
27.3#94Points allowed26.0#79
0.11#87Offense EPA/play0.16#65
0.00#42Defense EPA/play-0.01#39
45.6%#47Offense success rate46.3%#41
38.3%#47Defense success rate38.7%#52
5.6#88Yards per play5.5#91
30.4%#1333rd down35.3%#109
61.4%#74Red zone TD rate64.1%#36
18.6%#11Havoc created16.0%#40
-2.0#87Turnover margin3.0#43

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

Arizona State

UCF

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

Arizona State

UCF