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Week 11 · Game preview · Sat 12:00 PM ET

Auburn

5-4 · SEC · Away

at

Mississippi State

4-5 · SEC · Home

Statboy projection

Auburn by 1.0

53% to win

Auburn 53%Mississippi State 47%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

AuburnMississippi State
#37Résumé rank#51
+14.8#33Power rating+11.8#40
+6.5#40Offense+8.8#26
+7.6#30Defense+4.3#54
+1.0#28Special teams-0.5#112

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

AuburnMississippi State
24.3#96Points per game26.2#84
26.3#84Points allowed27.8#100
0.23#38Offense EPA/play0.24#31
-0.01#32Defense EPA/play0.03#53
45.4%#52Offense success rate49.8%#20
36.5%#31Defense success rate38.9%#57
5.2#112Yards per play5.9#62
42.2%#463rd down39.7%#76
64.2%#34Red zone TD rate62.4%#60
17.2%#26Havoc created16.1%#39
2.0#49Turnover margin-4.0#107

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

Auburn

Mississippi State

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

Auburn

Mississippi State