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Week 11 · Game preview · Sat · TBA

Louisville

6-3 · ACC · Away

at

North Carolina

5-4 · ACC · Home

Statboy projection

Louisville by 4.5

62% to win

Louisville 62%North Carolina 38%

From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.

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Projection, key ratings and a player to watch for each team.

Rankings

LouisvilleNorth Carolina
#30Résumé rank#43
+19.1#19Power rating+12.5#35
+11.9#16Offense+8.7#27
+7.8#28Defense+4.7#50
+0.1#74Special teams-0.2#94

Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.

Team stats

LouisvilleNorth Carolina
40.8#6Points per game27.1#75
25.9#78Points allowed22.8#51
0.31#15Offense EPA/play0.24#36
-0.01#33Defense EPA/play-0.01#36
50.6%#16Offense success rate50.7%#15
36.0%#28Defense success rate41.8%#81
7.8#1Yards per play5.8#73
44.4%#323rd down45.9%#27
63.9%#40Red zone TD rate65.0%#27
15.8%#45Havoc created13.6%#84
7.0#14Turnover margin-1.0#73

This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).

Players to watch

Louisville

North Carolina

Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).

Recent results

Louisville

North Carolina