Week 12 · Game preview · Sat · TBA
Statboy projection
North Carolina by 6.0
64% to win
North Carolina 64%Virginia 36%
From the Statboy Power Rankings, with home field counted.
Rankings
North Carolina |  Virginia | |
|---|---|---|
| #43 | Résumé rank | #82 |
| +12.5#35 | Power rating | +4.7#66 |
| +8.7#27 | Offense | +2.0#72 |
| +4.7#50 | Defense | +4.1#55 |
| -0.2#94 | Special teams | +0.2#68 |
Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best). The better team in each row is bold.
Team stats
| North Carolina | Virginia | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.1#75 | Points per game | 25.9#88 |
| 22.8#51 | Points allowed | 23.1#55 |
| 0.24#36 | Offense EPA/play | 0.14#74 |
| -0.01#36 | Defense EPA/play | 0.05#59 |
| 50.7%#15 | Offense success rate | 43.4%#71 |
| 41.8%#81 | Defense success rate | 38.2%#46 |
| 5.8#73 | Yards per play | 5.3#106 |
| 45.9%#27 | 3rd down | 30.0%#134 |
| 65.0%#27 | Red zone TD rate | 62.7%#55 |
| 13.6%#84 | Havoc created | 15.8%#44 |
| -1.0#73 | Turnover margin | 3.0#43 |
This season. Small numbers are national ranks (1 = best on that side of the ball).
Players to watch
North Carolina
Billy Edwards Jr.#32 QB
2112 pass yds · 18 TD · 6 INT
Jordan Shipp#14 WR
43 catches · 570 yds · 4 TD
Xavier Lewis#20 DL
44 tackles · 10 TFL · 7 sacks
Virginia
Matthew Fobbs-White#24 DE
29 tackles · 8 TFL · 5 sacks
Kam Robinson#64 LB
34 tackles · 5.5 TFL · 2 sacks · 1 INT
Jekail Middlebrook#24 RB
512 rush yds · 4 TD
Each team's most valuable player on offense and on defense this season, plus the next most valuable (#rank at his position).